Like the battle of Waterloo, the battle for Scotland was a damn close-run thing. The effects of Thursday’s no vote are enormous – though not as massive as the consequences of a yes would have been.
The vote against independence means, above all, that the 307-year Union survives. It therefore means that the UK remains a G7 economic power and a member of the UN security council. It means Scotland will get more devolution. It means David Cameron will not be forced out. It means any Ed Miliband-led government elected next May has the chance to serve a full term, not find itself without a majority in 2016, when the Scots would have left. It means the pollsters got it right, Madrid will sleep a little more easily, and it means the banks will open on Friday morning as usual.
But the battlefield is still full of resonant lessons. The win, though close, was decisive. It looks like a 54%-46% or thereabouts. That’s not as good as it looked like being a couple of months ago. But it’s a lot more decisive than the recent polls had hinted. Second, it was women who saved the union. In the polls, men were decisively in favour of yes. The yes campaign was in some sense a guy thing. Men wanted to make a break with the Scotland they inhabit. Women didn’t. Third, this was to a significant degree a class vote too. Richer Scotland stuck with the union — so no did very well in a lot of traditonal SNP areas. Poorer Scotland, Labour Scotland, slipped towards yes, handing Glasgow, Dundee and North Lanarkshire to the independence camp. Gordon Brown stopped the slippage from becoming a rout, perhaps, but the questions for Labour — and for left politics more broadly — are profound.
For Scots, the no vote means relief for some, despair for others, both on the grand scale. For those who dreamed that a yes vote would take Scots on a journey to a land of milk, oil and honey, the mood this morning will be grim. Something that thousands of Scots wanted to be wonderful or merely just to witness has disappeared. The anticlimax will be cruel and crushing. For others, the majority, there will be thankfulness above all but uneasiness too. Thursday’s vote exposed a Scotland divided down the middle and against itself. Healing that hurt will not be easy or quick. It’s time to put away all flags.
The immediate political question now suddenly moves to London. Gordon Brown promised last week that work will start on Friday on drawing up the terms of a new devolution settlement. That may be a promise too far after the red-eyed adrenalin-pumping exhaustion of the past few days. But the deal needs to be on the table by the end of next month. It will not be easy to reconcile all the interests – Scots, English, Welsh, Northern Irish and local. But it is an epochal opportunity. The plan, like the banks, is too big to fail.
Alex Salmond and the SNP are not going anywhere. They will still govern Scotland until 2016. There will be speculation about Salmond’s position, and the SNP will need to decide whether to run in 2016 on a second referendum pledge. More immediately, the SNP will have to decide whether to go all-out win to more Westminster seats in the 2015 general election, in order to hold the next government’s feet to the fire over the promised devo-max settlement. Independence campaigners will feel gutted this morning. But they came within a whisker of ending the United Kingdom on Thursday. One day, perhaps soon, they will surely be back.
(Artículo de Martin Kettle, publicado en "The Guardian" el 19 de septiembre de 2014)
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El Gobierno abre 7.416 nuevas plazas en la oferta de empleo público.
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El ministro de Hacienda y Administraciones Públicas, Cristóbal Montoro, ha anunciado que este año se abrirán 7.416 plazas de empleo público, lo que supone multiplicar por cuatro los nuevos puestos generados el año pasado. El principal motivo es que la llamada tasa de reposición -porcentaje de bajas que se cubren en el sector público- ha pasado del 10% al 50%. En promoción interna -puestos a los que acceden los que ya son empleados públicos y mejoran su posición- habrá 3.834 plazas.
El mayor número de puestos ordinarios corresponde a la Administración General del Estado (2.868), seguido del Cuerpo Nacional de Policía (1.374), Justicia (1.350), Guardia Civil (820), Agencia Tributaria (230) y funcionarios de la Administración Local (50).
"Las plazas de 2014 se multiplican por tres veces", ha dicho Montoro, con lo objetivos de priorizar la lucha contra el fraude fiscal, laboral, mejorar la justicia y las fuerzas de seguridad. En concreto, habrá 50 plazas para inspector de Hacienda y 323 para el cuerpo de técnicos de Hacienda, según el ministro.
A lo largo de la crisis la oferta de empleo público se redujo a la mínima expresión. En 2012, por ejemplo, la Administración convocó menos de 3.200 plazas este año y todas conrrespondían a procesos de contratación aprobados en 2011 o años anteriores y a la tasa de reposición del 10% en fuerzas de la Seguridad del Estado, policía autonómica, lucha contra el fraude fiscal y laboral, y funcionarios docentes y del Sistema Nacional de Salud. De cada 100 funcionarios que causen baja en estas áreas, solo se podrá reemplazar a 10.
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