Like the battle of Waterloo, the battle for Scotland was a damn close-run thing. The effects of Thursday’s no vote are enormous – though not as massive as the consequences of a yes would have been.
The vote against independence means, above all, that the 307-year Union survives. It therefore means that the UK remains a G7 economic power and a member of the UN security council. It means Scotland will get more devolution. It means David Cameron will not be forced out. It means any Ed Miliband-led government elected next May has the chance to serve a full term, not find itself without a majority in 2016, when the Scots would have left. It means the pollsters got it right, Madrid will sleep a little more easily, and it means the banks will open on Friday morning as usual.
But the battlefield is still full of resonant lessons. The win, though close, was decisive. It looks like a 54%-46% or thereabouts. That’s not as good as it looked like being a couple of months ago. But it’s a lot more decisive than the recent polls had hinted. Second, it was women who saved the union. In the polls, men were decisively in favour of yes. The yes campaign was in some sense a guy thing. Men wanted to make a break with the Scotland they inhabit. Women didn’t. Third, this was to a significant degree a class vote too. Richer Scotland stuck with the union — so no did very well in a lot of traditonal SNP areas. Poorer Scotland, Labour Scotland, slipped towards yes, handing Glasgow, Dundee and North Lanarkshire to the independence camp. Gordon Brown stopped the slippage from becoming a rout, perhaps, but the questions for Labour — and for left politics more broadly — are profound.
For Scots, the no vote means relief for some, despair for others, both on the grand scale. For those who dreamed that a yes vote would take Scots on a journey to a land of milk, oil and honey, the mood this morning will be grim. Something that thousands of Scots wanted to be wonderful or merely just to witness has disappeared. The anticlimax will be cruel and crushing. For others, the majority, there will be thankfulness above all but uneasiness too. Thursday’s vote exposed a Scotland divided down the middle and against itself. Healing that hurt will not be easy or quick. It’s time to put away all flags.
The immediate political question now suddenly moves to London. Gordon Brown promised last week that work will start on Friday on drawing up the terms of a new devolution settlement. That may be a promise too far after the red-eyed adrenalin-pumping exhaustion of the past few days. But the deal needs to be on the table by the end of next month. It will not be easy to reconcile all the interests – Scots, English, Welsh, Northern Irish and local. But it is an epochal opportunity. The plan, like the banks, is too big to fail.
Alex Salmond and the SNP are not going anywhere. They will still govern Scotland until 2016. There will be speculation about Salmond’s position, and the SNP will need to decide whether to run in 2016 on a second referendum pledge. More immediately, the SNP will have to decide whether to go all-out win to more Westminster seats in the 2015 general election, in order to hold the next government’s feet to the fire over the promised devo-max settlement. Independence campaigners will feel gutted this morning. But they came within a whisker of ending the United Kingdom on Thursday. One day, perhaps soon, they will surely be back.
(Artículo de Martin Kettle, publicado en "The Guardian" el 19 de septiembre de 2014)
6 comentarios:
Hay que inhabilitar a los responsables, que se lo han ganado a pulso.
La Audiencia Provincial confirma la sentencia que inhabilita al expresidente de la Diputación ourensana por 104 contrataciones ilegales: «Daba el nombre y el puesto».
«No cabe interponer recurso alguno». Con esa frase, escrita en mayúsculas, termina la sentencia notificada ayer por la Audiencia Provincial, que condena en firme al expresidente de la Diputación ourensana, José Luis Baltar Pumar (Esgos, 1940), a nueve años de inhabilitación. Se confirma así el fallo dictado por un juzgado penal de Ourense, que había considerado al exbarón popular culpable de enchufar en la institución que presidía a 104 personas en el año 2010.
«En ninguna de esas contrataciones se produjo fiscalización previa, real oferta de empleo ni la más mínima selección objetiva; sin acreditación de motivación de la excepcionalidad de acudir (máxime para la cobertura de nada menos que 104 plazas) al procedimiento singular de urgencia», dice la sentencia, que alude a que ese sistema de contratación estaba regulado en la propia ordenanza de personal de la Diputación ourensana. «Su literalidad -concluye la Audiencia Provincial- deja muy poco margen de duda».
Las normativas internas de la institución obligaban a que esas plazas fuesen publicitadas para que cualquier ciudadano pudiese optar a ellas, pero el gobierno presidido por José Luis Baltar no lo hizo. Y ello, pese a que sabía que debía hacerlo, ya que la ordenanza sí había sido aplicada correctamente en otras ocasiones. «La propia declaración en juicio del acusado [...] evidencia la consciente y deliberada omisión de la publicidad exigible en los procesos de contratación enjuiciados», dice la Audiencia Provincial, que hace especial hincapié en que este proceder «provoca comprensible quebranto de los principios de igualdad, mérito y capacidad» en el acceso al empleo público que derivan de la Constitución española.
Hay que insistir en la denuncia del enchufismo de Sodemasa.
Aragón no puede ser tierra de impunidad.
Se pasan los años y la situación sigue igual, creo que funcionaria mejor si se denunciara a las personas y no a las instituciones, en realidad quien comete las infracciones son los que firman. Por ejemplo: Si denuncias al consejero por prevaricación por incumplimiento de las ofertas de empleo, la reacción sería muy distinta
Publicar un comentario