Like the battle of Waterloo, the battle for Scotland was a damn close-run thing. The effects of Thursday’s no vote are enormous – though not as massive as the consequences of a yes would have been.
The vote against independence means, above all, that the 307-year Union survives. It therefore means that the UK remains a G7 economic power and a member of the UN security council. It means Scotland will get more devolution. It means David Cameron will not be forced out. It means any Ed Miliband-led government elected next May has the chance to serve a full term, not find itself without a majority in 2016, when the Scots would have left. It means the pollsters got it right, Madrid will sleep a little more easily, and it means the banks will open on Friday morning as usual.
But the battlefield is still full of resonant lessons. The win, though close, was decisive. It looks like a 54%-46% or thereabouts. That’s not as good as it looked like being a couple of months ago. But it’s a lot more decisive than the recent polls had hinted. Second, it was women who saved the union. In the polls, men were decisively in favour of yes. The yes campaign was in some sense a guy thing. Men wanted to make a break with the Scotland they inhabit. Women didn’t. Third, this was to a significant degree a class vote too. Richer Scotland stuck with the union — so no did very well in a lot of traditonal SNP areas. Poorer Scotland, Labour Scotland, slipped towards yes, handing Glasgow, Dundee and North Lanarkshire to the independence camp. Gordon Brown stopped the slippage from becoming a rout, perhaps, but the questions for Labour — and for left politics more broadly — are profound.
For Scots, the no vote means relief for some, despair for others, both on the grand scale. For those who dreamed that a yes vote would take Scots on a journey to a land of milk, oil and honey, the mood this morning will be grim. Something that thousands of Scots wanted to be wonderful or merely just to witness has disappeared. The anticlimax will be cruel and crushing. For others, the majority, there will be thankfulness above all but uneasiness too. Thursday’s vote exposed a Scotland divided down the middle and against itself. Healing that hurt will not be easy or quick. It’s time to put away all flags.
The immediate political question now suddenly moves to London. Gordon Brown promised last week that work will start on Friday on drawing up the terms of a new devolution settlement. That may be a promise too far after the red-eyed adrenalin-pumping exhaustion of the past few days. But the deal needs to be on the table by the end of next month. It will not be easy to reconcile all the interests – Scots, English, Welsh, Northern Irish and local. But it is an epochal opportunity. The plan, like the banks, is too big to fail.
Alex Salmond and the SNP are not going anywhere. They will still govern Scotland until 2016. There will be speculation about Salmond’s position, and the SNP will need to decide whether to run in 2016 on a second referendum pledge. More immediately, the SNP will have to decide whether to go all-out win to more Westminster seats in the 2015 general election, in order to hold the next government’s feet to the fire over the promised devo-max settlement. Independence campaigners will feel gutted this morning. But they came within a whisker of ending the United Kingdom on Thursday. One day, perhaps soon, they will surely be back.
(Artículo de Martin Kettle, publicado en "The Guardian" el 19 de septiembre de 2014)
13 comentarios:
No abandonemos la lucha. Nos crecemos y fortalecemos en cada batalla.
Quien tolera una justicia está provocando otra.
Velasco y Brun deben ser puestos al descubierto ante el Gobierno de Madrid, por su deslealtad con la legislación básica. ¿Así se construye o destruye un Estado?
Palma de Mallorca. (Europa Press).-El presidente del gobierno balear, Francesc Antich, descartó presentar "cualquier tipo de cuestión de confianza" durante la toma de posesión de los nuevos consellers de Turismo, Joana Barceló; Trabajo y Formación, Pere Aguiló; y Medio Ambiente y Movilidad, Gabriel Vicens, que junto con los que permanecen en el cargo después de las últimas destituciones, conforman el primer Ejecutivo Autonómico netamente de izquierdas de la historia de Baleares.
LA VANGUARDIA.
Me parece una iniciativa muy interesante acudir al Tribunal de Cuentas y al Gobierno de España. A ver si ellos se toman más en serio la defensa de la legalidad. Ánimo y felicitaciones a la Asociación por su constante trabajo.
THE expenses scandal is likely to deepen this spring with another three peers and at least two MPs facing possible criminal charges over their allegedly fraudulent claims.
Police are actively investigating a second batch of cases after the decision last week to charge four politicians under the Theft Act. Keir Starmer, director of public prosecutions (DPP), mentioned only one of the other cases when he announced the charges against the four at a press conference on Friday.
Although Starmer did not name the politician, he was referring to Baroness Uddin, who obtained £189,000 by falsely claiming that her main home was outside London.
The other cases include Lord Paul, the Labour donor, and Lord Taylor of Warwick, the Tory peer, who both made large expenses claims based on properties that were not their actual homes.
THE TIMES.
Comment:
Why so few? Many more MPs are reported to have practiced the same deceptions.
Comment:
Where is the equality here? If i was caught stealing in my work no doubt i would be sacked and this would go on my record.These Politicians enjoy all of the priveleges of being an M.P.and still want to steal from us.Try this yourself and see how quick you would be dragged down the police station.This country makes you sick, run by a bunch of pompus higher classes who dont care about anything and anyone.
Comment:
When I heard this, my trust in the police increased - just a little. Nice to know there are some coppers who want to catch criminals and not just bully around "civvies".
Commons Speaker John Bercow today warned of the danger of prejudicing the trials of three MPs charged with criminal offences relating to their expenses claims.
Bercow's intervention came after comments by David Cameron about the cases led to claims he risked prejudicing any criminal trial.
David Chaytor, Elliot Morley and Jim Devine are being prosecuted on several counts of false accounting. All were suspended from the Labour party earlier today, prompting the Tory leader to accuse Gordon Brown of a "humiliating" retreat.
The Tories said Labour only took the decision after Cameron identified Labour's failure to discipline the three as an example of Gordon Brown's inability to deal with the expenses issue properly.
Labour rejected this, saying that the three were suspended as the result of a formal process that began at the end of last week.
Tonight, Bercow also said that the "golden goodbye" payments for the three MPs will be suspended until legal proceedings are over. He wrote to the clerk of the house, Malcolm Jack, telling him to "suspend any payments which would otherwise be due and attributable to the resettlement grant in any case where criminal proceedings are brought in relation to any claim for expenses until the criminal proceedings have been finally disposed of".
Earlier today, Bercow made a brief statement to MPs to warn them that the cases of Chaytor, MP for Bury North, Morley, MP for Scunthorpe, and Devine, the MP for Livingston are officially "sub judice" and should not be referred to in Commons proceedings. All three, as well as Tory peer Lord Hanningfield deny the charges.
He said: "The House will be aware that charges have been made against three members of the House and that therefore the sub judice rule applies to their cases.
"The matter is therefore before the courts and the House and members would not wish to interfere with the judicial process, risk affecting the fairness of a criminal trial or, furthermore, prevent such a trial taking place."
The news of Labour's decision to suspend the MPs broke shortly before Cameron was due to deliver a speech that will come close to suggesting Brown has been trying to protect the three Labour MPs.
The allegations have infuriated Labour, and given rise to suggestions that Cameron's intervention could prevent the accused getting a fair trial.
The expenses controversy has damaged the reputation of all MPs and until today Cameron has been cautious about exploiting it for party political advantage. But today, in a speech at the University of East London, Cameron attacked the prime minister in relation to this issue, in personal terms.
At the end of last week the three Labour MPs, Elliot Morley, David Chaytor, Jim Devine, – as well as the Tory peer Lord Hanningfield – were charged with false accounting. The director of public prosecution has said that lawyers for the accused have suggested that a criminal trial could be a breach of parliamentary privilege.
THE GUARDIAN.
Comentari:
La corrupció ha de ser eliminada amb contundència.Aplaudeixo l'expulsió del govern de qualsevol persona implicada i crec que fins i tot s'hauria d'inhabilitar per a la política la gent que hi tingui res a veure amb aquest casos. A primera vista tots podem pensar que és un fet estès a tota la societat, és cert, però dins la política cal ser molt més rigorosos perquè hi ha diners públics pel mig, la política ha de donar exemple i confiança als votants. La xifra de votants a les eleccions minva constantment i això pot afeblir molt un sistema que tot i ser lluny de la perfecció és el més vàlid dels existents.
Los excesos en los gastos de los diputados británicos han encolerizado a los súbditos de su Graciosa Majestad. Pagos injustificados, de hasta 1,12 millones de libras, han provocado que los ciudadanos del ReinAo Unido carguen contra su clase política y exijan una auditoría al Parlamento. Aquí, mientras, cuando se habla de apretarse el cinturón y ahorrar en las cuentas públicas, el Congreso se niega a informar sobre el presupuesto que destina a las salidas al exterior de sus señorías. Nuestros parlamentarios cobran dietas de 120 euros al día cuando viajan por España y de 150 cuando salen al extranjero. Casos como el de la diputada socialista Mercedes Coello, que pidió 11.000 euros para viajar a Chile a un congreso sobre lengua española, hacen sospechar que los gastos y presupuestos en el Congreso bailan ajenos a la realidad de la calle. Para alejar las dudas no hay nada como hacer públicas las cuentas.
LA RAZON.
Creo que empieza a ser el momento de mandar una artículo de opinión a la prensa aragonesa y nacional, un recopilatorio de los casos más relevantes tratados por la Asociación.
No se debe dejar pasar mucho tiempo sin dejar oír nuestra voz en los medios de comunicación.
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